Woof woof! Here's the coffee market report from August 11th to 17th!
Last week's market price was as exciting as the moment you discover a wonderful smell while out for a walk! From August 11th to 17th, the price of coffee fluctuated energetically, rising and falling every day.
At first it was a little calm, but mid-week the price suddenly shot up like chasing a ball , and on August 15th it jumped to $343.55/lb, a 5.22% increase from the previous day ! It was like the biggest jump in the park!
Then, on Friday of the weekend, the September Arabica coffee contract jumped 15.15 points (4.64%) to hit its highest price in three weeks. For the week as a whole, Arabica rose 10.4% and Robusta rose 18% , so it was like the tail was wagging!
The main reason was a light frost in the Cerrado Mineiro region of Brazil ! It was like being surprised when you find ice on your usual walking route, and everyone's hearts were racing. The damage from the frost was minor, but I understand why people worry about their coffee plants during the winter.
On top of that, Brazil's coffee exports in July were down 28% compared to the previous year , which caused some anxiety, just like when your dog food delivery is delayed. Robusta coffee exports in particular were down 49% , which surprised even the dogs at the market.
As of August 17th, USD/JPY was at 147.43 yen , almost unchanged from last week, and moving calmly like a dog taking a leisurely stroll.
It fluctuated between 148.465 yen (high on August 12th) and 146.385 yen (low on August 14th) during the week, and has fallen 0.054% over the past week, but it hasn't bounced around as much as coffee.
There's a lot to pay special attention to this week:
The most worrying thing is the latest news on the damage caused by the frost . Winter in Brazil is still ongoing, so there may be more cold spells. This is just as important as planning a walk while keeping the weather in mind.
It's also important to keep an eye on the tariff issue . It's still unclear whether Trump will exempt coffee from the tariffs or whether he will actually impose a 50% tariff.
If the frost threat and supply shortages continue, it could go above $350 and even higher ! It's like when a dog starts running and can't stop, and keeps going further and further.
However, if it rains and the risk of dry weather eases, or if the harvest goes smoothly, the price may stabilize. This may be like a dog taking a short break after a hard run in the park.
Last week was a week where weather risks and actual supply shortages really had a big impact on the market! I'll be keeping a close eye on market movements this week as well, and hope that we can all continue to enjoy delicious coffee!
*Invest at your own risk, be careful and wag your tail!
Last week's market price was as exciting as the moment you discover a wonderful smell while out for a walk! From August 11th to 17th, the price of coffee fluctuated energetically, rising and falling every day.
At first it was a little calm, but mid-week the price suddenly shot up like chasing a ball , and on August 15th it jumped to $343.55/lb, a 5.22% increase from the previous day ! It was like the biggest jump in the park!
Then, on Friday of the weekend, the September Arabica coffee contract jumped 15.15 points (4.64%) to hit its highest price in three weeks. For the week as a whole, Arabica rose 10.4% and Robusta rose 18% , so it was like the tail was wagging!
Why has he become so energetic? Even a dog can tell the reason
The main reason was a light frost in the Cerrado Mineiro region of Brazil ! It was like being surprised when you find ice on your usual walking route, and everyone's hearts were racing. The damage from the frost was minor, but I understand why people worry about their coffee plants during the winter.
On top of that, Brazil's coffee exports in July were down 28% compared to the previous year , which caused some anxiety, just like when your dog food delivery is delayed. Robusta coffee exports in particular were down 49% , which surprised even the dogs at the market.
The yen and dollar were still in leisurely stroll mode.
As of August 17th, USD/JPY was at 147.43 yen , almost unchanged from last week, and moving calmly like a dog taking a leisurely stroll.
It fluctuated between 148.465 yen (high on August 12th) and 146.385 yen (low on August 14th) during the week, and has fallen 0.054% over the past week, but it hasn't bounced around as much as coffee.
This week's walking course (points to note)
There's a lot to pay special attention to this week:
The most worrying thing is the latest news on the damage caused by the frost . Winter in Brazil is still ongoing, so there may be more cold spells. This is just as important as planning a walk while keeping the weather in mind.
It's also important to keep an eye on the tariff issue . It's still unclear whether Trump will exempt coffee from the tariffs or whether he will actually impose a 50% tariff.
This week's predictions (including my dog's intuition)
If the frost threat and supply shortages continue, it could go above $350 and even higher ! It's like when a dog starts running and can't stop, and keeps going further and further.
However, if it rains and the risk of dry weather eases, or if the harvest goes smoothly, the price may stabilize. This may be like a dog taking a short break after a hard run in the park.
Last week was a week where weather risks and actual supply shortages really had a big impact on the market! I'll be keeping a close eye on market movements this week as well, and hope that we can all continue to enjoy delicious coffee!
*Invest at your own risk, be careful and wag your tail!
If you want to enjoy coffee more deeply
" CROWD ROASTER APP"
Manabu at CROWD ROASTER LOUNGE
・Push notifications for article updates・Full of original articles exclusive to CROWD ROASTER
・Direct links to detailed information about green beans and roasters
App-only features
- Choose green beans and roasters to create and participate in roasting events・CROWD ROASTER SHOP: Everything from beans to equipment is readily available
・GPS-linked coffee map function
Download the official app here
